U.S.A.
S&P Global Ratings has revised its outlook on Czech Republic from stable to positive while affirming the country’s strong sovereign credit ratings of AA- for long-term foreign-currency obligations and AA for long-term local-currency obligations. The positive outlook signals an increased possibility of a rating upgrade over the next one to two years if the Czech economy continues to demonstrate resilience and maintains its strong fiscal and external position.
S&P expects the Czech economy to grow by more than 2% annually on average between 2026 and 2029, supported by household consumption, investment, rising real wages, and a strong labor market. The agency also highlighted Czech Republic’s continued convergence toward higher-income economies: GDP per capita measured in U.S. dollars has increased by roughly 40% over the past five years, while real economic output has expanded by more than 20% over the past decade despite a series of external shocks.
Czech Republic’s relatively low government debt and strong external position remain important strengths. Net government debt is estimated at approximately 32% of GDP in 2026, while the Czech National Bank maintains substantial foreign exchange reserves. S&P also points to the country’s well-capitalized and profitable banking sector, where non-performing loans remain at historically low levels. At the same time, the agency continues to monitor risks including higher energy prices, geopolitical uncertainty, global trade tensions, and the Czech economy’s exposure to developments in European manufacturing.
For U.S. companies and investors, the improved outlook provides another indication of Czech Republic’s macroeconomic stability and resilience as a business location in Central Europe. Combined with its industrial base, skilled workforce, integration into European supply chains, and growing technology sector, the country continues to offer a stable platform for companies looking to invest, expand operations, or develop commercial partnerships within the European Union.
Prepared by the team of the CzechTrade office in San Francisco.
Source: S&P; Ministry of Finance of the Czech Republic.